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Lecco vs Lumezzane

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Konate I.
32'
Romani L.
34' Event
Iori M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lecco and Lumezzane finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lecco
40%
Draws
29%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lecco haven't matched Lumezzane's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lecco Clean Sheet 17%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Lumezzane
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 13
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Lumezzane
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Lecco
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Lecco
4:0
Sep 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Lumezzane
1:1
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Lecco vs Lumezzane
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecco Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghillani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 31 / 100
Lumezzane 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lecco's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Lumezzane let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Lumezzane
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1
Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Lecco
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 7

Lumezzane

(Away)
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0
Lumezzane
03 May
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Alcione Milano
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1
Virtus Verona
19 Apr
Lecco
2 : 2
Lumezzane
11 Apr
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)