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Stadium Background

Lecco vs Lumezzane

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Konate I.
32'
Romani L.
34' Event
Iori M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lecco and Lumezzane finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lecco
30%
Draws
29%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lecco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lecco haven't matched Lumezzane's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lecco Clean Sheet 20%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Lumezzane
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Lumezzane
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Lecco
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Lecco
4:0
Sep 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Lumezzane
1:1
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Lecco vs Lumezzane
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecco Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghillani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 31 / 100
Lumezzane 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Lecco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lecco scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Lumezzane let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Lumezzane
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0
Arzignano
Page 1 of 6

Lumezzane

(Away)
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)