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Stadium Background

Lecco vs Novara

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Konate I.
52'
Battistini M.
60'
Sub
Kritta M. In: Rizzo M.
Out: Kritta M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lecco and Novara finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lecco
39%
Draws
31%
Novara
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecco come out ahead of Novara on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lecco Clean Sheet 68%
Novara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Novara
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Novara
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Lecco
1:0
Jan 17, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Novara
1:1
Sep 16, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Lecco
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Novara
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 41 / 100
Novara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Novara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Lecco stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Lecco's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Novara conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Novara has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Novara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1
Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Lecco
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 7

Novara

(Away)
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1
Inter U23
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2
Novara
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1
Cittadella
11 Apr
Vicenza
3 : 1
Novara
03 Apr
Novara
1 : 3
Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)