Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecco vs Pianese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ianesi S.
48'
Mallamo A.
53'
Metlika A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lecco
44%
Draws
20%
Pianese
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Lecco's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Pianese have produced (1.13).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Pianese, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lecco Clean Sheet 20%
Pianese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Pianese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 15
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pianese
1:1
May 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pianese vs Lecco
1:1
Mar 18, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Pianese vs Lecco
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pianese
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pianese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ianesi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 36 / 100
Pianese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Pianese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Lecco stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lecco scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Pianese let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Pianese
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1
Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Lecco
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Pianese

(Away)
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1
Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Lecco
06 May
Juventus U23
0 : 2
Pianese
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3
Pianese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Casertana1
Atalanta U230
Crotone1
Audace Cerignola1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella2
Arzignano2
Lumezzane0
Alcione Milano0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza-
TBD-
Monopoli0
Casarano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso-
TBD-
Pineto2
Gubbio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U232
Vis Pesaro2
Pianese1
Ternana1
Lecco-
TBD-
Trento1
Giana Erminio2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/16-finals
Casertana1
Crotone1
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella1
Lumezzane0
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza1
Casarano5
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Pineto1
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U230
Pianese2
Lecco2
Giana Erminio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/8-finals
Casertana3
Salernitana4
Cittadella3
Ravenna3
Casarano3
Renate2
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Potenza6
TBD-
Ascoli-
Pianese2
Lecco2
TBD-
Catania-
Quarter-finals
Salernitana4
Ravenna0
Casarano0
Union Brescia3
Potenza0
Ascoli1
Lecco3
Catania3
Semi-finals
Salernitana1
Union Brescia3
Ascoli5
Catania2
Final
Union Brescia1
Ascoli4