Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecco vs Pianese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ianesi S.
48'
Mallamo A.
53'
Metlika A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Lecco
30%
Draws
16%
Pianese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lecco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Lecco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lecco a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Lecco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pianese, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lecco Clean Sheet 68%
Pianese Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Pianese
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.03 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pianese
1:1
May 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pianese vs Lecco
1:1
Mar 18, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Pianese vs Lecco
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pianese
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Pianese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ianesi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 59 / 100
Pianese 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Pianese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pianese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Lecco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Pianese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Pianese
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0
Arzignano
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Pianese

(Away)
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pianese
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0
Vado
23 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0
Pianese
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4