Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecco vs Renate

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Romani L.
17' Event
Delcarro A.
37'
Battistini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lecco and Renate finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lecco
44%
Draws
20%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Renate come out ahead of Lecco on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lecco Clean Sheet 16%
Renate Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Renate
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Renate
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Lecco
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Lecco
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Renate
0:2
Apr 3, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Lecco
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Delcarro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karlsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 36 / 100
Renate 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecco's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Renate let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Lecco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Renate
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0
Lecco
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1
Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

Renate

(Away)
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
19 Apr
Trento
3 : 3
Renate
13 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)