Sport Picks
Lecco vs Union Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco 
Match Events
11'
11'
Armati L.
13'
13'
Capello A.
19'
19'
Sub
Zennaro M. In: Mallamo A.
Out: Zennaro M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Lecco and Union Brescia finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Union Brescia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Union Brescia have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lecco Clean Sheet 16%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lecco | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Union Brescia
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Lecco
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Union Brescia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lecco Compare
Top Goalscorer Capello A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Casarotto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Casasola T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Spagnoli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lecco 31 / 100
Union Brescia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lecco Union Brescia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Lecco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Lecco scored in 53% of their last 32 games.
Union Brescia has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lecco VS Union Brescia
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lecco
(Home) 04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0 Arzignano
16 Aug
Lecco
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 4
Union Brescia
(Away) 04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
