Sport Picks
Lech Poznan II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki 
Match Events
25'
25'
Jarosz J.
42'
42'
Bartczak P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Lech Poznan II and Chemik Bydgoszcz finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lech Poznan II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Lech Poznan II carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lech Poznan II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 15%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lech Poznan II | Chemik Bydgoszcz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
1:1
May 5, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
4:0
Oct 6, 2018 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznan II
1:3
May 27, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Lech Poznan II
0:3
Oct 29, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lech Poznan II Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartczak P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Chemik Bydgoszcz Compare
Top Goalscorer Jarosz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lech Poznan II 30 / 100
Chemik Bydgoszcz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lech Poznan II Chemik Bydgoszcz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lech Poznan II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lech Poznan II scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.
Chemik Bydgoszcz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Lech Poznan II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lech Poznan II VS Chemik Bydgoszcz
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lech Poznan II
(Home) 10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4 Lech Poznan II
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Aug
Lech Poznan II
1 : 0 Lipno Steszew
08 Aug
Lech Poznan II
1 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
18 Jul
Lech Poznan II
3 : 0 Zaglebie II
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Chemik Bydgoszcz
(Away) 10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
28 Aug
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
19 Aug
Luzino
3 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
08 Aug
Lech Poznan II
1 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
