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Lech Poznan II vs Lipno Steszew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
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Match Events

7' Event
Bakhno S.

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan II in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lech Poznan II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lech Poznan II
30%
Draws
23%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lech Poznan II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lech Poznan II have won more games recently than Lipno Steszew.
  • Win probability leans Lech Poznan II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lipno Steszew here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 17%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Lipno Steszew
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Lech Poznan II
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Lipno Steszew
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhno S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lipno Steszew Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 57 / 100
Lipno Steszew 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lech Poznan II scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Lipno Steszew's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lech Poznan II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Lipno Steszew
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Grom Nowy Staw
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3
Lech Poznan II
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Lipno Steszew

(Away)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)