Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lech Poznan II vs Nowe Skalmierzyce

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Szewczyk F.
81' Event
Wichtowski M.
90'
Wichtowski M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lech Poznan II
28%
Draws
50%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nowe Skalmierzyce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lech Poznan II lately — more wins on the board than Nowe Skalmierzyce.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Nowe Skalmierzyce taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 11%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Nowe Skalmierzyce
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Lech Poznan II
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
4:1
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Lech Poznan II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wichtowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare

Top Goalscorer Szewczyk F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 22 / 100
Nowe Skalmierzyce 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Nowe Skalmierzyce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Lech Poznan II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Nowe Skalmierzyce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Lech Poznan II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
25 Jul
KKS Kalisz
2 : 2
Lech Poznan II
18 Jul
Lech Poznan II
3 : 0
Zaglebie II
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
17 May
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Zawisza
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Nowe Skalmierzyce

(Away)
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0
Blekitni Stargard
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)