Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lech Poznan II vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bartkowski J.
27' Event
Lutostanski J.
83' Event
Wilak F.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Lech Poznan II and Victoria Wrzesnia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victoria Wrzesnia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Lech Poznan II
22%
Draws
60%
Victoria Wrzesnia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria Wrzesnia come out ahead of Lech Poznan II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Victoria Wrzesnia a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 12%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Victoria Wrzesnia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lech Poznan II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilak F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartkowski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lutostanski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 19 / 100
Victoria Wrzesnia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Victoria Wrzesnia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WRZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan II found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Victoria Wrzesnia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Lech Poznan II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Victoria Wrzesnia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
18 Jul
Lech Poznan II
3 : 0
Zaglebie II
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
17 May
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Zawisza
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
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Victoria Wrzesnia

(Away)
15 Jul
LZS Polonia Golina
3 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
08 Jul
Victoria Wrzesnia
4 : 0
Piast Kobylnica
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 3
Lipno Steszew
16 May
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)