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Lech Poznan vs Cracovia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Poznan, Poznań
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Knap K. In: Selan B.
Out: Knap K.
49'
Hasic A.
57'
Ishak M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lech Poznan
15%
Draws
26%
Cracovia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lech Poznan have won more games recently than Cracovia.
  • Lech Poznan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 15%
Cracovia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan Cracovia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2.46 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Cracovia
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Lech Poznan
2:2
Jul 18, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Cracovia
1:4
Apr 21, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Cracovia
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Lech Poznan
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan 39 / 100
Cracovia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan Cracovia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lech Poznan scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Cracovia let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lech Poznan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan VS Cracovia
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan

(Home)
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1
Radomiak Radom
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Lech Poznan
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0
Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 6

Cracovia

(Away)
10 Oct
Cracovia
3 : 1
Zaglebie
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
GKS Katowice
3 : 2
Cracovia
13 Sept
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Cracovia
06 Sept
Cracovia
0 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
14 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
17 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)