Sport Picks
Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion Poznan, Poznań 
Match Events
9'
9'
Tudor F.
25'
25'
Skrzypczak M.
32'
32'
Gurgul M.
AI Match Summary
Lech Poznan in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lech Poznan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lech Poznan lately — more wins on the board than Rakow Czestochowa.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Lech Poznan taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 11%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lech Poznan | Rakow Czestochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.46 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa
4:3
Sep 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan
2:2
Feb 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:1
Aug 9, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Lech Poznan
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lech Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Bengtsson L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Rakow Czestochowa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lech Poznan 56 / 100
Rakow Czestochowa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lech Poznan Rakow Czestochowa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lech Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lech Poznan's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Rakow Czestochowa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Lech Poznan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lech Poznan VS Rakow Czestochowa
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lech Poznan
(Home) 10 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1 Radomiak Radom
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1 Radomiak Radom
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 Rakow Czestochowa
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
20 Aug
Lech Poznan
7 : 0 Thun
Page 1 of 4
Rakow Czestochowa
(Away) 09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4 GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 Rakow Czestochowa
20 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
16 Aug
Cracovia
2 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
13 Aug
Hammarby
0 : 1 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
