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Lech Poznan vs Sunderland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Stadion Poznan, Poznań
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan host Sunderland in the Europa League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sunderland have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Lech Poznan have conceded 1.29 and scored 2.46. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.38, favoring Lech Poznan. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lech Poznan
15%
Draws
39%
Sunderland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lech Poznan lately — more wins on the board than Sunderland.
  • Win probability leans Lech Poznan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 17%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan Sunderland
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.46 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan 66 / 100
Sunderland 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Sunderland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Lech Poznan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Sunderland has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan VS Sunderland
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan

(Home)
15 Oct
Lech Poznan
0 : 4
Bayer Leverkusen
10 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 4
Lech Poznan
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1
Radomiak Radom
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 6

Sunderland

(Away)
15 Oct
Torreense
1 : 2
Sunderland
10 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 2
Brighton
20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3
Sunderland
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Bayer Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
4 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
5 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Omonia 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
7 Ferencvaros 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
8 Lyon 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
9 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
10 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
11 Sparta Prague 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
12 Royale Union SG 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
13 Rennes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
14 Din. Zagreb 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
15 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
16 AC Milan 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
17 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
18 OFI Crete 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
19 Torreense 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
20 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
21 Salzburg 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
22 Real Sociedad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
23 Lillestrom 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
24 Levski Sofia 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
25 H. Beer Sheva 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Sturm Graz 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
27 Nijmegen 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
28 Celta Vigo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
29 Anderlecht 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
30 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
31 Plzen 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
32 Marseille 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
33 Celtic 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
34 Ararat-Armenia 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
35 Celje 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
36 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)