Sport Picks
Lech-UAM Poznan II W vs Pogon Tczew W
Poland
Polish Cup Women 
AI Match Summary
Pogon Tczew W in this Polish Cup Women tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lech-UAM Poznan II W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pogon Tczew W lately — more wins on the board than Lech-UAM Poznan II W.
- Lech-UAM Poznan II W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Pogon Tczew W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pogon Tczew W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lech-UAM Poznan II W Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lech-UAM Poznan II W | Pogon Tczew W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 4 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.00 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2025 Polish Cup Women
Lech-UAM Poznan II W vs Pogon Tczew W
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lech-UAM Poznan II W 85 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lech-UAM Poznan II W Pogon Tczew W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Tczew W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Lech-UAM Poznan II W scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.
Difficult form: Pogon Tczew W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lech-UAM Poznan II W VS Pogon Tczew W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
(Home) 18 Oct
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
1 : 4 Pogon Tczew W
16 Oct
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
0 : 1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
25 Nov
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
2 : 4 Ostrovia Ostrow W
08 Nov
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
3 : 0 Grodzisk Wielkopolski W
18 Oct
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
1 : 4 Pogon Tczew W
16 Oct
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
0 : 1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
25 Nov
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
2 : 4 Ostrovia Ostrow W
08 Nov
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
3 : 0 Grodzisk Wielkopolski W
Pogon Tczew W
(Away) 30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5 Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2 Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2 Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3 Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1 Pogon Tczew W
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2 Pogon Tczew W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1 Pogon Tczew W
04 Apr
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 0 Pogon Tczew W
21 Mar
UKS SMS Lodz W
3 : 3 Pogon Tczew W
19 Nov
GKS Katowice W
3 : 1 Pogon Tczew W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Lech-UAM Poznan III W2
UJ Krakow II W0
Stomilanki Olsztyn II W1
Pabianice W0
Slask Wroclaw II W5
Bielawianka Bielawa W0
Unia Lublin II W0
Medyk Konin W9
Pultusk W0
Czarni Sosnowiec II W9
Lech-UAM Poznan II W1
Pogon Tczew W4
TAF Torun II W0
Wlokniarz Bialystok W2
GKS Katowice II W0
Pogon Szczecin W9
Legia II W5
Loczki Wyszkow W0
KKP Bydgoszcz W0
Czworka Radom W1
TAF Torun W0
Trojka Staszkowka W20
Lechia Gdansk W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W5
Dab Zabierzow W3
LFA Szczecin W0
Wanda Krakow W0
UKS SMS Lodz W3
Kolbuszowa Dolna W2
R. Rzeszow W6
Unia Opole W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W30
Medyk Konin II W3
Ostrovia Ostrow W1
AKS SMS Lodz W2
KKP Warszawa W3
Slupczanka Slupca W1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W6
Iskra Tarnow W0
Lech-UAM Poznan W4
Rekord Bielsko-Biala II W1
Stare Oborzyska W2
Grodzisk Wielkopolski W0
Leczna W6
Kostrzyn nad Odra W1
Wisla W2
MKS Myszkow W0
Stomilanki Olsztyn W4
UKS SMS Lodz II W9
Praga Warszawa W0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski W1
Wisla Plock W4
Lubartow W0
Legia W3
Unia Lublin W0
UJ Krakow W2
Beniaminek Krosno W5
UW Warszawa W1
Sleza Wroclaw W4
Slask Wroclaw W2
Myslenice W0
GKS Katowice W6
Pogon Szczecin II W0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W4
1/16-finals
Lech-UAM Poznan III W5
Stomilanki Olsztyn II W1
Slask Wroclaw II W0
Medyk Konin W2
Czarni Sosnowiec II W2
Pogon Tczew W0
Wlokniarz Bialystok W0
Pogon Szczecin W9
Legia II W2
Czworka Radom W3
Trojka Staszkowka W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W5
Dab Zabierzow W0
UKS SMS Lodz W6
R. Rzeszow W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W5
Medyk Konin II W1
KKP Warszawa W2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W0
Lech-UAM Poznan W5
Stare Oborzyska W1
Leczna W5
Wisla W2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W7
UKS SMS Lodz II W6
Wisla Plock W0
Legia W4
UJ Krakow W2
Beniaminek Krosno W1
Sleza Wroclaw W2
GKS Katowice W2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W0
1/8-finals
Lech-UAM Poznan III W2
Medyk Konin W0
Czarni Sosnowiec II W2
Pogon Szczecin W3
Czworka Radom W1
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W5
UKS SMS Lodz W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
KKP Warszawa W0
Lech-UAM Poznan W5
Leczna W4
Stomilanki Olsztyn W0
UKS SMS Lodz II W1
Legia W3
Sleza Wroclaw W0
GKS Katowice W2
Quarter-finals
Lech-UAM Poznan III W1
Pogon Szczecin W2
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
Lech-UAM Poznan W1
Leczna W0
Legia W1
GKS Katowice W2
Semi-finals
Pogon Szczecin W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
Lech-UAM Poznan W0
GKS Katowice W5
Final
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
GKS Katowice W5
