Sport Picks

Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Polish Cup Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk

Jagiellonia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Polish Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Jagiellonia have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Lechia Gdansk have conceded 1.82 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Jagiellonia slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.31) back Jagiellonia to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Lechia Gdansk

15%

Draws

28%

Jagiellonia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lechia Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Jagiellonia lately — more wins on the board than Lechia Gdansk.
Win probability leans Lechia Gdansk's way, sitting at 60%.
Jagiellonia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Lechia Gdansk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 18%

Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lechia Gdansk	Jagiellonia
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	11	18
Draws	3	4
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.64	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.82	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia

3:0

Aug 31, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia vs Lechia Gdansk

2:0

Mar 29, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia

1:0

Sep 21, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia vs Lechia Gdansk

3:2

Apr 10, 2023 Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia vs Lechia Gdansk

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lechia Gdansk 58 / 100

Jagiellonia 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lechia Gdansk Jagiellonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lechia Gdansk scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Jagiellonia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Lechia Gdansk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lechia Gdansk VS Jagiellonia

2.13 Goals Scored 1.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lechia Gdansk

(Home)

24 Oct

Puszcza

2 : 1

Lechia Gdansk

18 Oct

Lechia Gdansk

2 : 1

Arka Gdynia

12 Oct

S. Rzeszow

1 : 2

Lechia Gdansk

03 Oct

Ruch Chorzow

1 : 3

Lechia Gdansk

19 Sept

Lechia Gdansk

7 : 1

Stal Mielec

Page 1 of 6

Jagiellonia

(Away)

25 Oct

Jagiellonia

1 : 0

Wisla Plock

22 Oct

Jagiellonia

0 : 3

Anderlecht

18 Oct

Zaglebie

1 : 0

Jagiellonia

15 Oct

Jagiellonia

3 : 1

Ararat-Armenia

10 Oct

Jagiellonia

1 : 3

Gornik Zabrze

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Legnica -

TBD -

Chrobry Glogow -

Widzew Lodz II -

TBD -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

TBD -

Zaglebie -

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda -

TBD -

Unia Skierniewice 2

Kleczew 3

Podhale Nowy Targ 2

Chojniczanka 0

TBD -

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -

Avia Swidnik -

TBD -

KS Wieczysta Krakow -

Korona Kielce II -

TBD -

Radomiak Radom -

Warta Poznan 0

R. Rzeszow 1

TBD -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

TBD -

Podbeskidzie 2

Hutnik Krakow 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

TBD -

Sandecja Nowy S. 3

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0

Beskid Andrychow -

TBD -

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Stal Stalowa Wola 2

Motor Lublin -

TBD -

Legia -

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork -

TBD -

Lechia Gdansk -

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice -

TBD -

Polonia Warszawa -

Widzew Lodz -

TBD -

Korona Kielce -

Plock II -

TBD -

Puszcza -

Luzino -

TBD -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow 3

LKS Lodz II 1

TBD -

Cracovia -

Zielona Gora -

TBD -

Ruch Chorzow -

Gornik Zabrze II -

TBD -

Ol. Grudziadz 5

Swit Szczecin 3

Suwalki -

TBD -

Termalica Bruk-Bet -

Chemik Bydgoszcz -

TBD -

Piast Gliwice -

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole -

TBD -

Wisla -

Slask Wroclaw -

TBD -

Pogon Szczecin -

Leczna 2

KKS Kalisz 0

TBD -

Stal Mielec -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0

TBD -

LKS Lodz -

Kluczevia Stargard -

TBD -

Pogon Siedlce 3

GKS Jastrzebie 0

1/32-finals

Legnica 0

Chrobry Glogow 1

Widzew Lodz II 1

Polonia Bytom 2

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3

Zaglebie 2

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda 1

Kleczew 2

Podhale Nowy Targ 3

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1

Avia Swidnik 3

KS Wieczysta Krakow 1

Korona Kielce II 0

Radomiak Radom 1

R. Rzeszow 0

Arka Gdynia 4

S. Rzeszow 3

Podbeskidzie 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3

Sandecja Nowy S. 2

Beskid Andrychow 1

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Motor Lublin 3

Legia 0

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork 1

Lechia Gdansk 2

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice 0

Polonia Warszawa 1

Widzew Lodz 0

Korona Kielce 1

Plock II 0

Puszcza 2

Luzino 2

Wisla Plock 3

Pruszkow 2

Cracovia 1

Zielona Gora 0

Ruch Chorzow 2

Gornik Zabrze II 3

Ol. Grudziadz 4

Suwalki 1

Termalica Bruk-Bet 5

Chemik Bydgoszcz 0

Piast Gliwice 3

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole 2

Wisla 1

Slask Wroclaw 2

Pogon Szczecin 1

Leczna 4

Stal Mielec 3

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

LKS Lodz 0

Kluczevia Stargard 2

Pogon Siedlce 3

1/16-finals

Chrobry Glogow -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

Lech Poznan -

Kleczew -

Podhale Nowy Targ -

Avia Swidnik -

Radomiak Radom -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

Slask Wroclaw II -

Motor Lublin -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Lechia Gdansk -

Jagiellonia -

Polonia Warszawa -

Korona Kielce -

Puszcza -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow -

Ruch Chorzow -

Ol. Grudziadz 0

Termalica Bruk-Bet 0

Piast Gliwice -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole -

Slask Wroclaw -

Leczna 1

GKS Katowice 0

Tychy -

Pogon Siedlce -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Lechia Gdansk

Jagiellonia

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Lechia Gdansk

Jagiellonia

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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