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Leczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leczna host Stal Stalowa Wola in the Division 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Stal Stalowa Wola have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Leczna have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.72. Head-to-head, Leczna have won 4 to Stal Stalowa Wola's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.31) point toward Leczna. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Leczna
30%
Draws
19%
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leczna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leczna come out ahead of Stal Stalowa Wola on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Leczna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Leczna have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Leczna Clean Sheet 18%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leczna Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 Division 1
Leczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 Division 1
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Leczna
0:1
Feb 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Leczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola
3:0
Jun 6, 2020 Division 2
Leczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:2
Aug 31, 2019 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Leczna
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leczna 85 / 100
Stal Stalowa Wola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leczna Stal Stalowa Wola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leczna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leczna has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Leczna's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stal Stalowa Wola conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Leczna VS Stal Stalowa Wola
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leczna

(Home)
04 Oct
Leczna
3 : 1
Chojniczanka
26 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2
Leczna
18 Sept
Zawisza
0 : 0
Leczna
12 Sept
Leczna
4 : 1
Legia II
05 Sept
Kleczew
0 : 4
Leczna
Page 1 of 5

Stal Stalowa Wola

(Away)
04 Oct
Pruszkow
4 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
20 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 0
R. Rzeszow
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
29 Aug
Hutnik Krakow
2 : 1
Stal Stalowa Wola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Leczna 10 6 2 2 21:10 20
3 Tychy 10 5 5 0 14:6 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Zielona Gora 10 4 3 3 20:16 15
9 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
14 Legia II 9 3 0 6 18:17 9
15 Slask Wroclaw II 9 3 0 6 15:17 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)