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Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
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Match Events

2' Event
Okubo Y.
29'
Leung Kwun-Chung
34'
Wong Tsz-Ho

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Lee Man Warriors and Eastern AA finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern AA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Lee Man Warriors
20%
Draws
19%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lee Man Warriors a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Eastern AA
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.55 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Lee Man Warriors
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
8:1
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Lee Man Warriors
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Okubo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 83 / 100
Eastern AA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lee Man Warriors's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lee Man Warriors remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Eastern AA conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Eastern AA
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
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Eastern AA

(Away)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 22 16 4 2 54:28 52
2 Tai Po 22 13 4 5 49:32 43
3 Lee Man Warriors 22 12 6 4 57:26 42
4 Eastern AA 22 9 5 8 39:37 32
5 North District 22 8 8 6 43:39 32
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)