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Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
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Match Events

2' Event
Okubo Y.
29'
Leung Kwun-Chung
34'
Wong Tsz-Ho

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Lee Man Warriors and Eastern AA finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern AA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lee Man Warriors
40%
Draws
29%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 17%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Eastern AA
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Lee Man Warriors
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
8:1
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Lee Man Warriors
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Okubo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 31 / 100
Eastern AA 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lee Man Warriors's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Eastern AA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Lee Man Warriors remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Eastern AA
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
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Eastern AA

(Away)
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1
North District
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
11 Apr
Eastern AA
5 : 0
Hong Kong FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee22164254:2852
2Tai Po22134549:3243
3Lee Man Warriors22126457:2642
4Eastern AA2295839:3732
5North District2288643:3932
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