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Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Chan Y. T.
24'
Eli D.
29'
Tsang Kam-To

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Lee Man Warriors and Kowloon City finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lee Man Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Lee Man Warriors
15%
Draws
24%
Kowloon City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Kowloon City haven't matched Lee Man Warriors's recent run of results.
  • Lee Man Warriors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Lee Man Warriors here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 20%
Kowloon City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Kowloon City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.52 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.97 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City
3:0
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Kowloon City vs Lee Man Warriors
1:4
Dec 20, 2025 FA Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City
3:0
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Kowloon City vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Chan Y. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kraev B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kowloon City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 85 / 100
Kowloon City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Kowloon City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lee Man Warriors found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Kowloon City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Lee Man Warriors has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Kowloon City
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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Kowloon City

(Away)
04 Oct
Kowloon City
1 : 2
Eastern District
19 Sept
Kowloon City
4 : 1
Hong Kong FC
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3
Kowloon City
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
29 Aug
Southern District
2 : 1
Kowloon City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North District 5 4 1 0 15:1 13
2 Kitchee 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
3 Lee Man Warriors 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
4 Tai Po 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
5 Southern District 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
6 Kowloon City 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
7 Eastern District 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
8 Shatin 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
9 Hong Kong Rangers 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
10 Hong Kong FC 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
11 Eastern AA 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)