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Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Eli D.
31' Event
Mikael
(Penalty)
42' Event
Tursunov D.

AI Match Summary

Lee Man Warriors host Kowloon City in the FA Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Lee Man Warriors have averaged 1.88 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Kowloon City's 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Lee Man Warriors slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Lee Man Warriors. Lee Man Warriors in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lee Man Warriors
28%
Draws
22%
Kowloon City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kowloon City.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Lee Man Warriors.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 19%
Kowloon City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Kowloon City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Kowloon City vs Lee Man Warriors
1:4
Dec 20, 2025 FA Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City
3:0
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Kowloon City vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursunov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camargo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kowloon City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 49 / 100
Kowloon City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Kowloon City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lee Man Warriors scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Kowloon City let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Lee Man Warriors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kowloon City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS Kowloon City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tai Po-
TBD-
TBD-
Kitchee-
Hong Kong Rangers-
TBD-
Lee Man Warriors3
Kowloon City0
Eastern AA-
TBD-
TBD-
Eastern District-
Hong Kong FC-
TBD-
Southern District1
North District3
Quarter-finals
Tai Po2
Kitchee1
Hong Kong Rangers4
Lee Man Warriors3
Eastern AA0
Eastern District1
Hong Kong FC1
North District3
Semi-finals
Tai Po2
Hong Kong Rangers0
Eastern District3
North District2
Final
Tai Po2
Eastern District1