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Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2019/2020
Lee Man Warriors Logo

Lee Man Warriors

1 - 3
FT
Pegasus Logo

Pegasus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Pegasus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lee Man Warriors
15%
Draws
32%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lee Man Warriors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lee Man Warriors have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pegasus, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 20%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Pegasus
Matches Played 35 23
Wins 24 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors
1:5
Apr 11, 2021 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
1:3
Mar 28, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
Dec 5, 2020 FA Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Sapling Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 85 / 100
Pegasus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lee Man Warriors's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Lee Man Warriors went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pegasus has conceded goals in 70% of their last 23 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Eastern AA 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
3 Pegasus 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Lee Man Warriors 8 2 1 5 17:22 7
5 Hong Kong Rangers 8 1 1 6 10:27 4
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
2 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 8 4 1 3 18:12 13
3 Yuen Long 8 3 3 2 19:17 12
4 Happy Valley 8 2 2 4 13:17 8
5 Tai Po 8 1 3 4 18:25 6
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)