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Lee Man Warriors vs Yuen Long

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2019/2020
Sun, May 17, 2020
VS
06:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lee Man Warriors host Yuen Long in the Premier League 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Yuen Long have shipped 2.43 goals a game lately, while Lee Man Warriors have conceded 0.97 and scored 2.52. Head-to-head, Lee Man Warriors have won 2 to Yuen Long's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on May 17, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 0.88, favoring Lee Man Warriors. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lee Man Warriors
20%
Draws
20%
Yuen Long
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Yuen Long haven't matched Lee Man Warriors's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 20%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lee Man Warriors Yuen Long
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 21 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.52 1.95
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2020 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Yuen Long
0:0
May 9, 2020 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Senior Shield
Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors
0:3
Apr 27, 2019 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors
2:3
Mar 17, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Lee Man Warriors
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lee Man Warriors 85 / 100
Yuen Long 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lee Man Warriors Yuen Long

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lee Man Warriors scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Yuen Long has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.

Lee Man Warriors went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lee Man Warriors VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lee Man Warriors

(Home)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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Yuen Long

(Away)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 10 6 2 2 25:10 20
2 Eastern AA 10 6 1 3 16:8 19
3 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 10 5 3 2 21:15 18
4 Lee Man Warriors 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
5 Southern District 10 2 4 4 15:21 10
6 Happy Valley 10 0 1 9 6:31 1
7 Tai Po 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Pegasus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Hong Kong Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Yuen Long 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Cup 2020 (Qualification)