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Leeds U18 vs Derby U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leeds U18 host Derby U18 in the Premier League U18. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Leeds U18 have averaged 1.69 scored and 2.69 conceded recently, against Derby U18's 1.87 scored and 2.47 conceded. Head-to-head, Leeds U18 have won 3 to Derby U18's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.13 - 2.69) back Derby U18 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leeds U18
15%
Draws
46%
Derby U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Leeds U18 haven't matched Derby U18's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Leeds U18 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League U18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U18 Derby U18
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.69 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Leeds U18
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Derby U18
4:0
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Leeds U18
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Derby U18
0:6
Apr 24, 2024 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Derby U18
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U18 56 / 100
Derby U18 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U18 Derby U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U18 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Derby U18 conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leeds U18 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U18 VS Derby U18
2.13 Goals Scored 2
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U18

(Home)
24 Oct
Sunderland U18
4 : 3
Leeds U18
17 Oct
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Leeds U18
Page 1 of 6

Derby U18

(Away)
24 Oct
Derby U18
1 : 5
Manchester City U18
17 Oct
Wolves U18
1 : 2
Derby U18
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3
Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2
Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 7 7 0 0 31:9 21
2 Manchester United U18 8 6 1 1 29:5 19
3 Newcastle Utd U18 8 6 0 2 23:10 18
4 Nottingham U18 7 4 2 1 17:5 14
5 Middlesbrough U18 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
6 Burnley U18 9 3 2 4 17:20 11
7 Derby U18 8 3 1 4 13:19 10
8 Liverpool U18 7 2 3 2 19:19 9
9 Leeds U18 7 3 0 4 14:21 9
10 Stoke City U18 7 2 1 4 14:19 7
11 Sunderland U18 6 2 1 3 10:18 7
12 Everton U18 7 2 0 5 12:16 6
13 Blackburn U18 7 2 0 5 6:26 6
14 Leicester U18 6 0 4 2 9:14 4
15 Wolves U18 8 1 1 6 10:22 4
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 9 7 0 2 37:14 21
2 Fulham U18 8 5 3 0 32:21 18
3 Tottenham U18 8 5 2 1 36:13 17
4 Arsenal U18 8 5 1 2 15:8 16
5 Brighton U18 8 5 1 2 22:21 16
6 Southampton U18 8 5 0 3 26:16 15
7 West Ham U18 8 4 2 2 19:17 14
8 Brentford U18 8 4 0 4 24:22 12
9 Bournemouth U18 8 3 2 3 17:22 11
10 Crystal Palace U18 8 3 1 4 20:20 10
11 Ipswich U18 8 3 0 5 18:25 9
12 Aston Villa U18 8 2 2 4 16:17 8
13 West Brom U18 8 2 1 5 9:22 7
14 Norwich U18 8 2 0 6 15:27 6
15 Reading U18 9 1 1 7 14:35 4
16 Birmingham U18 8 1 0 7 8:28 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)