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Leeds U18 vs Swansea U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Youth Cup
Mon, Jan 19, 2026
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Jones C. D.
64' Event
Njinko C.
120' Event
Clarke B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Leeds U18
15%
Draws
42%
Swansea U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Swansea U18 haven't matched Leeds U18's recent run of results.
  • Swansea U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Leeds U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Swansea U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 13%
Swansea U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U18 Swansea U18
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.73 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.7 3.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 FA Youth Cup
Leeds U18 vs Swansea U18
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Njinko C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Swansea U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones C. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U18 10 / 100
Swansea U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U18 Swansea U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leeds U18 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Swansea U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Swansea U18's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U18 VS Swansea U18
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1
Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1
Leeds U18
Page 1 of 6

Swansea U18

(Away)
11 Feb
Swansea U18
0 : 2
Blackburn U18
19 Jan
Leeds U18
1 : 2
Swansea U18
23 Jul
Briton Ferry
0 : 6
Swansea U18
24 Jan
Swansea U18
0 : 5
Fulham U18
02 Apr
Swansea U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Reading U18 2
Chelsea U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Arsenal U18 2
Everton U18 3
West Ham U18 2
Bromley U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
Leeds U18 1
Swansea U18 2
Coventry U18 1
Blackburn U18 8
Norwich U18 1
Burnley U18 5
Watford U18 1
Charlton U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 2
Colchester U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Derby U18 1
Sunderland U18 4
West Brom U18 3
QPR U18 0
Brighton U18 2
Fleetwood Town U18 2
Aston Villa U18 3
Southend U18 1
Wrexham U18 3
Bolton U18 1
Stevenage U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 4
1/8-finals
Chelsea U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
Everton U18 4
Ipswich U18 2
Swansea U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 2
Charlton U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 1
Manchester United U18 4
Sunderland U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Aston Villa U18 1
Wrexham U18 0
Stevenage U18 1
Crystal Palace U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 3
Everton U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 1
Manchester United U18 3
Sunderland U18 2
Aston Villa U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 3
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
Blackburn U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Manchester United U18 1