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Leeds U21 vs Ath Bilbao B

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Cresswell A.
77' Event
White L.
Assist: Cresswell A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Leeds U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leeds U21
30%
Draws
37%
Ath Bilbao B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Ath Bilbao B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U21 Ath Bilbao B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Premier League International Cup
Leeds U21 vs Ath Bilbao B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cresswell A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ath Bilbao B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U21 34 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U21 Ath Bilbao B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U21's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ath Bilbao B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Leeds U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U21 VS Ath Bilbao B
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U21

(Home)
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4
Leeds U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3
Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6

Ath Bilbao B

(Away)
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
2 Real Madrid U21 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Wolves U21 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
4 Monaco II 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
5 Manchester City U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
6 Jong PSV 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 RB Leipzig II 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Valencia B 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 B. Monchengladbach II 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Nordsjaelland U21 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
5 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Juventus U21 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad B 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
3 Benfica B 4 2 2 0 13:4 8
4 PSG U21 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Brighton U21 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
7 Newcastle Utd U21 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
8 Chelsea U21 4 0 0 4 6:14 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund II 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Anderlecht 2 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
6 Sporting CP B 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
7 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 West Ham U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)