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Leeds U21 vs Sporting CP B

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Momade R.
Assist: Camacho R.
45' Event
Vincent H.
90' Event
Lopata-White R.
Assist: Render J.

AI Match Summary

Leeds U21 in this Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Leeds U21
15%
Draws
48%
Sporting CP B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting CP B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Leeds U21 haven't matched Sporting CP B's recent run of results.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sporting CP B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U21 Sporting CP B
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.32 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2025 Premier League International Cup
Leeds U21 vs Sporting CP B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vincent H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopata-White R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sporting CP B Compare

Top Goalscorer Momade R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U21 36 / 100
Sporting CP B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U21 Sporting CP B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Leeds U21 scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Leeds U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U21 VS Sporting CP B
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U21

(Home)
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3
Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
30 Aug
Liverpool U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
23 Aug
Leeds U21
4 : 3
West Brom U21
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP B

(Away)
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2
Lusitania FC
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3
Sporting CP B
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0
Sporting CP B
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0
Chaves
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
2 Real Madrid U21 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Wolves U21 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
4 Monaco II 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
5 Manchester City U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
6 Jong PSV 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 RB Leipzig II 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Valencia B 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 B. Monchengladbach II 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Nordsjaelland U21 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
5 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Juventus U21 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad B 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
3 Benfica B 4 2 2 0 13:4 8
4 PSG U21 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Brighton U21 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
7 Newcastle Utd U21 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
8 Chelsea U21 4 0 0 4 6:14 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund II 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Anderlecht 2 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
6 Sporting CP B 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
7 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 West Ham U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)