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Leeds U23 vs Mansfield U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
McGurk S.
71' Event
Dean M.
87' Event
Gale J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Leeds U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Leeds U23
30%
Draws
23%
Mansfield U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leeds U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leeds U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Leeds U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Mansfield U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U23 Mansfield U23
Matches Played 32 6
Wins 8 1
Draws 8 2
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2022 Premier League Cup
Mansfield U23 vs Leeds U23
1:1
Nov 15, 2021 Premier League Cup
Leeds U23 vs Mansfield U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer McGurk S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dean M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Mansfield U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gale J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U23 31 / 100
Mansfield U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U23 Mansfield U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leeds U23 scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Mansfield U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Mansfield U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U23 VS Mansfield U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 7

Mansfield U23

(Away)
07 Mar
Mansfield U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
23 Feb
Mansfield U23
1 : 2
Wigan U23
13 Dec
Sunderland U23
1 : 1
Mansfield U23
15 Nov
Leeds U23
2 : 1
Mansfield U23
28 Oct
Wigan U23
3 : 0
Mansfield U23
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)