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Leeds U23 vs Wigan U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Moore K.
10' Event
Baningime D.
19' Event
McHugh H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Wigan U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leeds U23
20%
Draws
51%
Wigan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wigan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Wigan U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Wigan U23 taking it.
  • Wigan U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wigan U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Wigan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U23 Wigan U23
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2022 Premier League Cup
Wigan U23 vs Leeds U23
1:2
Sep 8, 2021 Premier League Cup
Leeds U23 vs Wigan U23
1:2
Apr 12, 2020 Professional Development League
Leeds U23 vs Wigan U23
0:0
Nov 25, 2019 Professional Development League
Wigan U23 vs Leeds U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wigan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baningime D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McHugh H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U23 19 / 100
Wigan U23 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U23 Wigan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wigan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U23 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Wigan U23 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leeds U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U23 VS Wigan U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
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Wigan U23

(Away)
20 Jul
Alvechurch
1 : 3
Wigan U23
13 Jul
Hyde
0 : 3
Wigan U23
03 May
QPR U23
3 : 2
Wigan U23
28 Apr
Wigan U23
2 : 2
Swansea U23
19 Apr
Wigan U23
1 : 2
Hull City U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)