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Leek Town vs AFC Emley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bottomley B.
Own Goal
44' Event
Haswell A.
80' Event
Johnson G.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Leek Town and AFC Emley finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Emley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Leek Town
15%
Draws
0%
AFC Emley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Leek Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leek Town's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 68%
AFC Emley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leek Town AFC Emley
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.64 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs AFC Emley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leek Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

AFC Emley Compare

Top Goalscorer Haswell A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leek Town 95 / 100
AFC Emley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leek Town AFC Emley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leek Town scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: AFC Emley conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Difficult form: AFC Emley registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Leek Town VS AFC Emley
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Leek Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Leek Town
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

AFC Emley

(Away)
03 Oct
Warrington Rylands
4 : 1
AFC Emley
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3
Workington
26 Sept
Bootle
5 : 0
AFC Emley
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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