Sport Picks
Leek Town vs Ashton United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
12'
12'
Okome N.
31'
31'
Knight S.
63'
63'
Griffiths J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leek Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leek Town lately — more wins on the board than Ashton United.
- Leek Town are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 13%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leek Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Ashton United
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Leek Town
0:1
Nov 11, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Ashton United
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Ashton United
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Leek Town
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leek Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffiths J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hurst A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Ashton United Compare
Top Goalscorer Okome N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Knight S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leek Town 48 / 100
Ashton United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leek Town Ashton United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leek Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leek Town's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ashton United conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Leek Town has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leek Town VS Ashton United
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leek Town
(Home) 10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2 Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1 Hyde
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1 Leek Town
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2 Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1 Hyde
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
22 Aug
Leek Town
4 : 1 Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 3
Ashton United
(Away) 10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2 Ashton United
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2 Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2 Ashton United
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2 Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 31:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34:23 | 25 |
| 5 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:18 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:26 | 20 |
| 11 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 12 | Alfreton | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:33 | 16 |
| 14 | Hyde | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | 14 |
| 17 | Stockton | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:25 | 11 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16:32 | 10 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | 7 |
| 22 | Ilkeston | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8:34 | 7 |
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