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Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leek Town host Bamber Bridge in the NPL Premier Division. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Leek Town at 1.19 goals for, 1.13 against; Bamber Bridge at 1.25 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, Leek Town have won 3 to Bamber Bridge's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.00, favoring Leek Town. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Leek Town
35%
Draws
45%
Bamber Bridge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bamber Bridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bamber Bridge haven't matched Leek Town's recent run of results.
  • Leek Town are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 20%
Bamber Bridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leek Town Bamber Bridge
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.19 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge
3:2
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Leek Town
3:2
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Leek Town
3:1
Feb 12, 2005 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Leek Town
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leek Town 58 / 100
Bamber Bridge 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leek Town Bamber Bridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leek Town scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bamber Bridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Leek Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leek Town VS Bamber Bridge
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leek Town

(Home)
18 Aug
Leek Town
1 : 2
AFC Emley
15 Aug
Stockton
1 : 1
Leek Town
11 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 1
Leek Town
08 Aug
Leek Town
1 : 2
Whitby
31 Jul
Leek Town
1 : 1
Runcorn Linnets
Page 1 of 7

Bamber Bridge

(Away)
18 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 2
Bamber Bridge
15 Aug
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Ashton United
11 Aug
Bamber Bridge
1 : 6
Avro
08 Aug
Cleethorpes
2 : 0
Bamber Bridge
28 Jul
Ramsbottom Utd
1 : 3
Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 Warrington Town 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Gainsborough 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Avro 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
5 Ashton United 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
6 Redcar Athletic 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
7 Guiseley 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
8 Bury FC 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
9 AFC Emley 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Hyde 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
11 Alfreton 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
12 Warrington Rylands 4 2 0 2 4:2 6
13 Whitby 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
14 Ilkeston 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
15 Curzon Ashton 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
16 Bamber Bridge 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
17 Lancaster 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
18 Leek Town 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
19 Stockton 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
20 Workington 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
21 Quorn 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
22 United of Manchester 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
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