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Leevon PPK vs AFA Olaine

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025 LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass, Riga
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Match Events

31'
Ozols A.
33' Event
Strelcovs I.
35'
Cernovs K.

AI Match Summary

Leevon PPK in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Leevon PPK
20%
Draws
28%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Leevon PPK have won more games recently than AFA Olaine.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Leevon PPK taking it.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 19%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leevon PPK AFA Olaine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 2.1 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.3 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Leevon PPK
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs AFA Olaine
3:2
Aug 4, 2024 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Leevon PPK
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs AFA Olaine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Krums R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lusis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Strelcovs I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cernovs K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 85 / 100
AFA Olaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leevon PPK AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leevon PPK scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

AFA Olaine let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Leevon PPK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leevon PPK

(Home)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
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AFA Olaine

(Away)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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