Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025

Leevon PPK

0 - 3

Riga FC 2

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Treimanis N.

43'

Johnson K.

46'

Sub

Liepins L. In: Snegovs V.

Out: Liepins L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Leevon PPK and Riga FC 2 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Leevon PPK

39%

Draws

30%

Riga FC 2

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Leevon PPK carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 18%

Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leevon PPK	Riga FC 2
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	11
Draws	6	4
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	2.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Riga FC 2

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

3:2

Sep 27, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Riga FC 2

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

0:3

May 18, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Riga FC 2 vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Sep 16, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Riga FC 2

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

1:4

May 11, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Riga FC 2 vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Parkhomenko M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 32 / 100

Riga FC 2 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leevon PPK Riga FC 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Leevon PPK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Riga FC 2 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Leevon PPK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS Riga FC 2

2.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ogre United	26	18	4	4	66:20	58
2	Alberts JDFS	26	17	7	2	60:24	58
3	Riga Mariners	26	18	4	4	74:34	58
4	JFK Ventspils	26	11	10	5	40:29	43
5	RFS 2	26	11	8	7	46:31	41
6	Skanste	26	11	7	8	36:39	40
7	Leevon PPK	26	10	6	10	40:40	36
8	Marupe	26	10	2	14	30:33	32
9	Rezekne	26	8	7	11	36:57	31
10	FK Smiltene	26	8	4	14	46:48	28
11	Riga FC 2	26	6	6	14	35:43	24
12	Tukums 2000 2	26	7	2	17	37:60	23
13	AFA Olaine	26	6	4	16	39:88	22
14	Augsdaugavas	26	3	5	18	19:58	14