Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leevon PPK vs Valmiera 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024 LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Oliynyk M.
(Penalty)
21' Event
Kizili J.
Assist: Tiago Mumu
44'
Sub
Korzans R. In: Tatkov M.
Out: Korzans R.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2024 game between Leevon PPK and Valmiera 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Leevon PPK
30%
Draws
19%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Leevon PPK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Leevon PPK taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 20%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leevon PPK Valmiera 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.94 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Leevon PPK
0:0
Jul 29, 2024 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Valmiera 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Romenskis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kizili J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 85 / 100
Valmiera 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leevon PPK Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leevon PPK found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Leevon PPK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Valmiera 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leevon PPK

(Home)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

Valmiera 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)