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Lefkimmi vs AO Trikala

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Lefkimmi and AO Trikala finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lefkimmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lefkimmi
30%
Draws
29%
AO Trikala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lefkimmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lefkimmi's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what AO Trikala have produced (1.24).
  • Win probability leans Lefkimmi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 68%
AO Trikala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lefkimmi AO Trikala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs AO Trikala
4:3
Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
AO Trikala vs Lefkimmi
2:0
Mar 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
AO Trikala vs Lefkimmi
4:0
Nov 19, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Lefkimmi vs AO Trikala
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
AO Trikala vs Lefkimmi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lefkimmi 59 / 100
AO Trikala 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lefkimmi AO Trikala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lefkimmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lefkimmi scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lefkimmi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AO Trikala has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lefkimmi VS AO Trikala
2.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lefkimmi

(Home)
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
5 : 1
Lefkimmi
28 Mar
Anthoupoli
2 : 2
Lefkimmi
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AO Trikala

(Away)
26 Sept
Feraios
0 : 1
AO Trikala
11 Aug
AO Trikala
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
08 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Lamia
05 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
01 Apr
Elassona
0 : 0
AO Trikala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)