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Leganes B vs Galapagar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leganes B host Galapagar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Leganes B at 1.48 goals for, 1.18 against; Galapagar at 1.58 for, 1.61 against. Head-to-head, Leganes B have won 0 to Galapagar's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.88, favoring Galapagar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leganes B
30%
Draws
37%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Galapagar have won more games recently than Leganes B.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 10%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes B Galapagar
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Galapagar
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Leganes B
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Galapagar
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Leganes B
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Leganes B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes B 29 / 100
Galapagar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes B Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leganes B found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Galapagar let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Leganes B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leganes B VS Galapagar
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes B

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
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Galapagar

(Away)
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)