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Leganes vs Mallorca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leganes host Mallorca in the LaLiga2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Leganes have averaged 0.73 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Mallorca's 1.41 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Leganes have won 0 to Mallorca's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.56 - 1.19) back Mallorca to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Leganes
15%
Draws
65%
Mallorca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mallorca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mallorca lately — more wins on the board than Leganes.
  • Model gives Mallorca a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Leganes Clean Sheet 20%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Mallorca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Leganes
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 LaLiga
Leganes vs Mallorca
0:1
Apr 1, 2021 LaLiga2
Mallorca vs Leganes
1:0
Dec 12, 2020 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Mallorca
0:1
Jun 19, 2020 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Leganes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 10 / 100
Mallorca 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Mallorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mallorca has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Leganes scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Leganes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Mallorca
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
11 Oct
Almeria
3 : 0
Leganes
03 Oct
Cadiz
4 : 0
Leganes
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
20 Sept
Leganes
3 : 2
Granada CF
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Mallorca

(Away)
11 Oct
Mallorca
3 : 1
Las Palmas
04 Oct
Girona
0 : 0
Mallorca
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Mallorca
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Almeria 9 7 0 2 16:5 21
2 Eibar 9 7 0 2 19:10 21
3 Castellon 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
4 Mallorca 9 5 2 2 11:4 17
5 Sabadell 9 4 4 1 10:7 16
6 Gijon 9 5 1 3 9:8 16
7 Girona 9 4 3 2 15:9 15
8 Burgos CF 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
9 Real Oviedo 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
10 Granada CF 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
11 Valladolid 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
12 Tenerife 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 Celta Vigo B 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
14 Eldense 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
15 Las Palmas 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
16 Leganes 9 3 2 4 6:14 11
17 FC Andorra 9 3 1 5 13:15 10
18 Cordoba 9 3 0 6 14:20 9
19 Real Sociedad B 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
20 Cadiz 9 1 4 4 11:11 7
21 AD Ceuta 9 1 2 6 8:20 5
22 Albacete 9 0 1 8 5:20 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)