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Legia vs AEL Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Legia
20%
Draws
35%
AEL Limassol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legia lately — more wins on the board than AEL Limassol.
  • Model gives Legia a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Legia Clean Sheet 16%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia AEL Limassol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Legia vs AEL Limassol
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 84 / 100
AEL Limassol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia AEL Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Legia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AEL Limassol has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS AEL Limassol
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1
Korona Kielce
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
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AEL Limassol

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2
Aris Limassol
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