Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legia vs Zaglebie Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
Legia Logo

Legia

3 - 1
FT
Zaglebie Logo

Zaglebie

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kocaba F.
25' Event
Zjawinski L.
Assist: Wszolek P.
32'
Rajovic M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Legia in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Legia
20%
Draws
33%
Zaglebie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Legia have won more games recently than Zaglebie.
  • Legia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Legia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Legia Clean Sheet 68%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Zaglebie
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Zaglebie
3:1
Apr 17, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Zaglebie
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Legia
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Legia
0:3
Jul 20, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Zaglebie
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zjawinski L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinagre R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Zaglebie Compare

Top Goalscorer Kocaba F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 59 / 100
Zaglebie 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Zaglebie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Zaglebie conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Legia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Zaglebie
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
Page 1 of 6

Zaglebie

(Away)
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
07 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 1
Zaglebie
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2
Zaglebie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)