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Legiao U20 vs Samambaense U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 2023 game between Legiao U20 and Samambaense U20 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legiao U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Legiao U20
15%
Draws
0%
Samambaense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legiao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legiao U20 come out ahead of Samambaense U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Legiao U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Legiao U20 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Legiao U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Samambaense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao U20 Samambaense U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.67 0.47
Goals Conceded 2 4.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Samambaense U20 vs Legiao U20
2:4
Jul 1, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Legiao U20 vs Samambaense U20
5:0
Jul 31, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Legiao U20 vs Samambaense U20
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao U20 85 / 100
Samambaense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao U20 Samambaense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legiao U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samambaense U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Away concern: Samambaense U20 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Legiao U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Legiao U20 VS Samambaense U20
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao U20

(Home)
25 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 4
Samambaia U20
18 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 2
Brasiliense U20
11 Jul
Sobradinho U20
1 : 1
Legiao U20
01 Jul
Legiao U20
0 : 2
Capital DF U20
27 Jun
Samambaense U20
2 : 4
Legiao U20
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Samambaense U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaense U20
0 : 4
Gama U20
05 Jul
Brazlandia U20
3 : 0
Samambaense U20
27 Jun
Samambaense U20
2 : 4
Legiao U20
23 Jun
Capital DF U20
6 : 0
Samambaense U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)