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Legiao U20 vs Samambaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 game between Legiao U20 and Samambaia U20 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samambaia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Legiao U20
20%
Draws
57%
Samambaia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samambaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Legiao U20 haven't matched Samambaia U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Samambaia U20 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Legiao U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Samambaia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao U20 Samambaia U20
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.78 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Legiao U20 vs Samambaia U20
1:4
May 11, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Samambaia U20 vs Legiao U20
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao U20 10 / 100
Samambaia U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao U20 Samambaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samambaia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Legiao U20 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: Samambaia U20 conceded in 56% of 36 recent games.

Recent resilience: Legiao U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legiao U20 VS Samambaia U20
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao U20

(Home)
25 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 4
Samambaia U20
18 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 2
Brasiliense U20
11 Jul
Sobradinho U20
1 : 1
Legiao U20
01 Jul
Legiao U20
0 : 2
Capital DF U20
27 Jun
Samambaense U20
2 : 4
Legiao U20
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Samambaia U20

(Away)
08 Aug
Real Brasilia U20
1 : 0
Samambaia U20
01 Aug
Samambaia U20
0 : 0
Real Brasilia U20
25 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 4
Samambaia U20
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0
Candango U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 10 9 1 0 45:4 28
2 Capital DF U20 10 8 1 1 54:11 25
3 Samambaia U20 10 6 3 1 28:7 21
4 Sobradinho U20 10 6 2 2 40:5 20
5 Legiao U20 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
6 Candango U20 10 3 1 6 17:30 10
7 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 10 3 1 6 15:30 10
8 Gama U20 10 2 3 5 21:23 9
9 Brazlandia U20 10 2 2 6 14:31 8
10 Samambaense U20 10 2 0 8 5:46 6
11 ARUC U20 10 0 1 9 3:60 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 10 10 0 0 48:6 30
2 Real Brasilia U20 10 9 0 1 48:5 27
3 Planaltina U20 10 7 1 2 30:9 22
4 Santa Maria U20 10 5 2 3 26:18 17
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 5 0 5 20:26 15
6 Brasilia U20 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
7 Paranoa U20 10 3 1 6 13:28 10
8 Ceilandia U20 10 2 2 6 21:38 8
9 Ceilandense U20 10 1 4 5 6:25 7
10 Cruzeiro DF U20 10 1 3 6 11:27 6
11 Luziania U20 10 0 2 8 5:43 2
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)