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Legiao vs Brasiliense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2009
Legiao Logo

Legiao

1 - 2
FT
Brasiliense Logo

Brasiliense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2009 game between Legiao and Brasiliense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasiliense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Legiao
35%
Draws
37%
Brasiliense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brasiliense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brasiliense come out ahead of Legiao on wins alone.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brasiliense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Legiao Clean Sheet 20%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao Brasiliense
Matches Played 31 46
Wins 7 24
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2025 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Legiao
3:0
Feb 5, 2014 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Legiao
0:0
Mar 24, 2013 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Brasiliense
0:2
Mar 31, 2012 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Legiao
1:0
Mar 15, 2009 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Brasiliense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 31 / 100
Brasiliense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao Brasiliense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legiao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Legiao scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Legiao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Brasiliense conceded in 54% of 46 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Legiao VS Brasiliense
1.2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.8 Goals Conceded 1
60% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao

(Home)
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
Page 1 of 7

Brasiliense

(Away)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 3 1 32:9 33
2 Real Brasilia 14 7 3 4 22:18 24
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 14 7 2 5 22:17 23
4 Gama 14 5 5 4 20:20 20
5 Luziania 14 5 4 5 17:20 19
6 Ceilandia 14 4 4 6 18:20 16
7 Legiao 14 4 3 7 19:22 15
8 Brazlandia 14 1 2 11 10:34 5
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2009 (Second stage)