Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legiao vs Ceilandia

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Legiao
35%
Draws
56%
Ceilandia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ceilandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceilandia have won more games recently than Legiao.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Ceilandia taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ceilandia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Legiao Clean Sheet 18%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao Ceilandia
Matches Played 35 50
Wins 8 22
Draws 9 13
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2025 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandia
1:2
Jan 18, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Legiao
1:2
Jan 20, 2013 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandia
1:2
May 2, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Legiao
2:0
Feb 15, 2012 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 15 / 100
Ceilandia 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao Ceilandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legiao found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Ceilandia conceded in 70% of 50 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Legiao remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ceilandia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao

(Home)
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
13 Feb
Legiao
1 : 2
Ceilandia
09 Feb
Capital
1 : 0
Legiao
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Ceilandia

(Away)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 6 5 1 0 9:4 16
2 Brasiliense 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Botafogo DF 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
4 Sobradinho 6 3 0 3 12:9 9
5 Legiao 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
6 Real Brasilia 6 1 1 4 7:22 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 Brazlandia 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Gama 6 3 0 3 18:8 9
4 Bosque Formosa 6 2 0 4 9:15 6
5 Ceilandense 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
6 Capital 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (First stage - Play Offs)