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Legiao vs Gremio Valparaiso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2
Legiao Logo

Legiao

3 - 3
FT
Gremio Valparaiso Logo

Gremio Valparaiso

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasiliense 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Legiao
35%
Draws
23%
Gremio Valparaiso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio Valparaiso haven't matched Legiao's recent run of results.
  • Legiao are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Legiao Clean Sheet 19%
Gremio Valparaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao Gremio Valparaiso
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Brasiliense 2
Legiao vs Gremio Valparaiso
3:3
Sep 15, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Legiao
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 40 / 100
Gremio Valparaiso 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao Gremio Valparaiso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legiao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gremio Valparaiso conceded in 85% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Legiao stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Legiao scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Legiao VS Gremio Valparaiso
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao

(Home)
10 Oct
Legiao
1 : 1
Taguatinga
03 Oct
Planaltina
2 : 3
Legiao
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Valparaiso

(Away)
10 Oct
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 3
Canaa EC
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa EC 6 4 1 1 11:3 13
2 Taguatinga 6 4 1 1 10:2 13
3 Legiao 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
4 Planaltina 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
5 Luziania 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
6 Gremio Valparaiso 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
7 Candango 6 0 1 5 1:20 1
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