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Legion Makhachkala vs Astrakhan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Predeus I.
13'
Sub
Zlobin N. In: Abzalilov A.
Out: Zlobin N.
46'
Sub
Malysh M. In: Zolotorenko D.
Out: Malysh M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 game between Legion Makhachkala and Astrakhan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Astrakhan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Legion Makhachkala
20%
Draws
36%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legion Makhachkala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Astrakhan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Astrakhan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Legion Makhachkala Clean Sheet 17%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Makhachkala Astrakhan
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Astrakhan
1:0
Sep 9, 2025 Russian Cup
Astrakhan vs Legion Makhachkala
5:2
Aug 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Astrakhan
0:1
May 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Legion Makhachkala
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Astrakhan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Makhachkala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Predeus I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion Makhachkala 23 / 100
Astrakhan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Makhachkala Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astrakhan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legion Makhachkala found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Astrakhan has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Legion Makhachkala has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Astrakhan
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion Makhachkala

(Home)
01 Nov
Legion Makhachkala
1 : 0
Astrakhan
25 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Legion Makhachkala
18 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
2 : 1
Sochi 2
11 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
4 : 0
Legion Makhachkala
05 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
1 : 3
Angust Nazran
Page 1 of 6

Astrakhan

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
Astrakhan
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Stavropol 26 15 7 4 38:23 52
2 Kuban Kholding 26 14 9 3 48:23 51
3 FC Sevastopol 26 13 9 4 41:30 48
4 FK Pobeda 26 15 3 8 32:25 48
5 Rostov 2 26 13 5 8 37:22 44
6 Nart Cherkessk 26 12 6 8 37:22 42
7 Sochi 2 26 11 7 8 40:29 40
8 Maykop 26 10 7 9 37:27 37
9 Astrakhan 26 9 10 7 33:24 37
10 Rubin Yalta 26 9 6 11 26:32 33
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 7 8 11 26:42 29
12 Angust Nazran 26 5 8 13 21:31 23
13 Spartak Nalchik 26 3 5 18 18:48 14
14 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 26 0 2 24 15:71 2
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 (Relegation Group)