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Legion vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legion host Narva U21 in the Esiliiga B. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Legion at 1.13 goals for, 5 against; Narva U21 at 2.38 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Narva U21 slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.56 - 3.69) back Narva U21 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Legion
6%
Draws
90%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Legion.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Narva U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • History favors Narva U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Narva U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
5:0
Sep 28, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
0:4
Aug 16, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
5:1
Jun 29, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
0:4
Apr 26, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Narva U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Legion scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Narva U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Legion remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Narva U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
18 Jul
Legion
2 : 0
Tabasalu
12 Jul
Tartu Kalev
10 : 2
Legion
05 Jul
Legion
2 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
22 Jun
Legion
1 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
18 Jun
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 1
Legion
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Narva U21

(Away)
19 Jul
Narva U21
4 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 1
Narva U21
05 Jul
Narva U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 3
Narva U21
18 Jun
Narva U21
3 : 2
Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2120132559:4141
2Narva U2119112648:2935
3Tulevik19111755:3934
4Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2120102857:4632
6Levadia U1920102848:3932
7Tartu Kalev20911054:4228
8Tabasalu20901133:5227
9Tallinna Kalev U2120421442:5114
10Legion19311518:7710
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)