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Legion vs Narva U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Miranda da Silva K.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Miranda da Silva K.
58' Event
Kolodchuk M.

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Legion
15%
Draws
80%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Legion.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Narva U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Narva U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Narva U21
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 3 19
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0.87 2.36
Goals Conceded 3.55 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
1:2
Aug 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
1:3
May 2, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
5:0
Sep 28, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
0:4
Aug 16, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolodchuk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda da Silva K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burjanadze S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Narva U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Narva U21 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Legion's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Legion remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Narva U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
10 Oct
Legion
1 : 2
Tulevik
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
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Narva U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
5 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
6 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)