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Legion vs Narva U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Miranda da Silva K.
77' Event
Solodov A.
86' Event
Borissov A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Legion and Narva U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Legion
15%
Draws
80%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Narva U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Narva U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Narva U21 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Narva U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 0.87 2.45
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
1:2
Aug 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
1:3
May 2, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
5:0
Sep 28, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Narva U21
0:4
Aug 16, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Legion
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Borissov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda da Silva K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solodov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Narva U21 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Narva U21 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Legion found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Legion stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Narva U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
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Narva U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)