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Legion vs Tartu Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kohv K.
22' Event
Kruusla G.
28' Event
Bazjukin N.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Legion and Tartu Kalev finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Legion
6%
Draws
90%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Legion haven't matched Tartu Kalev's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tartu Kalev's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • Tartu Kalev have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.88 2.75
Goals Conceded 5.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tartu Kalev
0:6
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Legion
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Legion
4:3
Aug 2, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tartu Kalev
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Legion
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruusla G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kohv K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Tartu Kalev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Tartu Kalev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Tartu Kalev let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Tartu Kalev has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Legion's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Tartu Kalev
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
5.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2118112552:3635
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Narva U2117102543:2632
4Parnu JK Vaprus U2118102654:3832
5Johvi Phoenix18101745:4531
6Levadia U191892744:3329
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev18711039:4022
9Tallinna Kalev U2118421237:4214
10Legion17211414:677