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Legnago Salus vs Este Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 Mario Sandrini, Legnago
Sun, May 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Serie D - Group C 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Legnago Salus have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Este's 1.03 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Legnago Salus have won 2 to Este's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.31, favoring Legnago Salus. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Legnago Salus
20%
Draws
29%
Este
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legnago Salus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Legnago Salus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Legnago Salus a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Legnago Salus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Legnago Salus, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Legnago Salus Clean Sheet 18%
Este Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnago Salus Este
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Este
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Este
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Legnago Salus
3:2
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Legnago Salus
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Este
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnago Salus 40 / 100
Este 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnago Salus Este

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnago Salus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnago Salus found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Este let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Legnago Salus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnago Salus VS Este
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnago Salus

(Home)
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
12 Sept
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Calcio San Dona
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1
Legnago Salus
Page 1 of 6

Este

(Away)
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Legnago Salus 2
Mestre 0
Clodiense 1
Este 0
Final
Legnago Salus 2
Clodiense 2