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Legnano vs Brusaporto Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Staffa G. M.
90'
Messina M.

AI Match Summary

Legnano in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legnano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Legnano
20%
Draws
42%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Brusaporto have won more games recently than Legnano.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Legnano Clean Sheet 25%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnano Brusaporto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Brusaporto
1:0
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Legnano
2:0
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Brusaporto
2:1
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Legnano
0:1
Mar 22, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Brusaporto
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Staffa G. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Brusaporto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnano 37 / 100
Brusaporto 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnano Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnano's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brusaporto has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Legnano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brusaporto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnano

(Home)
12 May
Legnano
0 : 5
Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3
Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1
USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1
Varesina
Page 1 of 6

Brusaporto

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)