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Legnano vs Clivense

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Brighenti A.
57' Event
Bardelloni E.
65' Event
Brighenti A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Legnano and Clivense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clivense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Legnano
30%
Draws
39%
Clivense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Legnano haven't matched Clivense's recent run of results.
  • Legnano are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Legnano Clean Sheet 20%
Clivense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnano Clivense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Clivense
1:2
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Legnano
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardelloni E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Clivense Compare

Top Goalscorer Brighenti A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnano 42 / 100
Clivense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnano Clivense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Legnano found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Clivense conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Legnano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnano VS Clivense
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnano

(Home)
12 May
Legnano
0 : 5
Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3
Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1
USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1
Varesina
Page 1 of 6

Clivense

(Away)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)