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Legnano vs Ponte San Pietro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Staffa G. M.

AI Match Summary

Legnano host Ponte San Pietro in the Serie D - Group B 2023/2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Legnano at 0.75 goals for, 0.75 against; Ponte San Pietro at 0.88 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Legnano have won 3 to Ponte San Pietro's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2024, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 0.81) back Legnano to edge this. Legnano in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Legnano
39%
Draws
31%
Ponte San Pietro
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Legnano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ponte San Pietro.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Legnano Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnano Ponte San Pietro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Ponte San Pietro
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Legnano
0:2
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Legnano
0:0
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Ponte San Pietro
1:0
Jan 26, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Ponte San Pietro
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Staffa G. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ponte San Pietro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnano 41 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnano Ponte San Pietro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnano scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ponte San Pietro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Legnano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ponte San Pietro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnano VS Ponte San Pietro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caldiero Terme38238755:3277
2Piacenza38228869:3574
3Pro Palazzolo382110749:2673
4Desenzano Calvina381912751:2869
5Varesina382081073:4968
6Arconatese382151258:3868
7Brusaporto381591455:5454
8Clivense3814111338:4753
9Villa Valle381581550:4453
10Folgore Caratese381118944:4551
11USD Casatese3813121353:5351
12Caravaggio3812101644:5146
13Ciserano-Bergamo381361949:5845
14Club Milano3811121541:4445
15Real Calepina3811111638:4744
16Legnano381191834:5042
17Castellanzese389121736:5139
18Crema38992025:4836
19Tritium386112127:5729
20Ponte San Pietro38592431:6324